The Futures We Must Shape

A Bi-annual Alignment Briefing

Twice each year, our Alignment Briefings cut through the noise to confront the defining question of our age: How do we steward advanced intelligences—biological and artificial—so they unlock safer, more abundant, more surprising, and more liberating futures? Each edition distills rigorous research into motivating, easy-to-read and well-designed narrative insights that steer investment, encourage innovation, and shape policy. It convenes executives and program officers from leading funds, foundations, and policy institutions, rallying coordinated action around the visions outlined in each volume.

Membership cultivates a privileged vantage point—and leverage—to cultivate a resilient, forward-looking ontological portfolio that defines pathways orthoganal to todays institutional inertia.

Read by executives at institutions such as:

The Futures We Must Shape is a narrative-driven brief about paths to preferred futures—documents meant to endure, guiding decision‑makers across long arcs of history. It focuses on how things play out with more explanatory power in areas of investigation that depend on ideation and research, vision and insight, that no AI has training data on, since it requires entirely novel ideas of what the future should be, given the unprecedented powers released by technology and the still unknown choices that human collective intelligence will deliberate together, through thought and action, governance and change. In the coming years, fundamental questions will be reconsidered: What is life? What place do feeling and emotion hold in decision‑making? How will religion, community, and spiritual life thrive amid radical technological change? What is humanity for? The answers that gain prominence will shape everything.

This question of what the future should be must not be subject to technological drivers but enveloped in the human project of an ongoing understanding of value— the questions not of what *can* we do, but what ought we do. In a world dominated by information and data, facing the intensity of a hyper-stimulated technological economy that pursues its own recursive drives, this "ought" becomes an imperative for engaging in a collective transvaluation of value. It will require the efficient and proper harnessing of capitalism: markets, philanthropy, and newly created wealth, to build the worlds we most want.

This Alignment Brief leverages the research and development between faculty and students of The Divinity School, which runs a one year intensive with 60+ peers and faculty training high‑potential leaders to “to Become a Force of Nature” — so they can align communities, technology, and policy with the intelligences of the universe — be it through physicalist (fundamental laws), religious (divine will), or naturalistic (entelechy of the life force) perspectives. Participants are taught by field-leading scientists, philosophers, policymakers, and entrepreneurs, and supported to contribute to life-affirming innovation. The program serves as an incubator disguised as a Master’s Degree for vision-driven leaders capable of shaping policy, innovating beneficial technology, and directing capital flows toward life-affirming futures, endowing students with the ability to rigorously and spiritually defend their visions.

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Training Advanced Leaders

A One-Year Intensive Program with 60+ Peers & Faculty

The Illusion of Training, Learning, and Intelligence in Machines & How We Become Less Human.

The AI revolution is redefining concepts like training, learning, and intelligence, traditionally rooted in human experience, to fit machine capabilities, posing significant threats to education and human agency. This shift mirrors past industrial and knowledge economy transformations that led to standardized, monotonous education systems. AI's constraints—standardization, environmental reshaping, and immense energy demands—further exacerbate these issues, creating enforced compulsory social protocols (ECSP) that lower action thresholds while raising barriers to alternatives. AI's illusion of intelligence, driven by market forces, risks reducing human agency and freedom. To counter this, we will need a global council of educators advocating for education that promotes human flourishing and equitable opportunities, aligned with biological intelligence and the values of the living world.

“Over time, societies will make it more convenient to be a slave than a free man.”  ~ Anonymous

We live on the cusp of a revolution that is changing how we think about intelligence, that is transforming the architecture of global agency, and that is challenging our assumptions of who gets to build the world we will live in. The AI revolution is being promoted as a tremendous opportunity, but also being portrayed as a grave danger. But what does it mean for education in general, and educators, specifically?

As these societal and potentially global transformations are gaining momentum, my question for us is: What will the educators do?

It is said that we are “training” AI, that machines are “learning” by themselves and that they are becoming “intelligent.” These three words – training, learning, and intelligence – aren’t they the purview of education?

The danger here at the dawn of the AI revolution is that the technocrats are redefining what these words mean. They are slowly but surely isolating them from real human experience and defining them as what machines are good at. (What we are doing is trading in machine-like metaphors for human intelligence — predictive processing, Bayesian computation and the like— and trading in human-like metaphors for what machines are doing.)

This has happened before with the industrialization of work and the urbanization of former farm families. Factories were designed around the needs of the machines, and workers were forced to accommodate them by performing tedious, repetitive actions at a fast but monotonous pace along an assembly line.  As a result, work became a kind of drudgery, and schools followed suit, by training students to rigid clock time and seating them in linear rows.

As modern nations moved away from industrial production and into the knowledge economy, schools again followed suit. Knowledge, which is properly participatory knowing how, became redefined as “information” — propositionally knowing about. Huge amounts of information propagated through the knowledge-economy creating an entirely new consumer class seeking higher degrees by “downloading more and more information.” Education focused on training students to store highly standardized information and to retrieve it in highly standardized ways. As a result, school became another form of drudgery, preparing students to endure endless hours in front of screens along another kind of assembly line. The economy became a closed loop which continuously compounds the information that flows through the system. People became both the producers of information and the consumers of it. Unlike the production of real goods and services, this system was almost frictionless. It led to the development of social media platforms and the world of competitive mimetics. The irony here is that what had been completely displaced from learning and work was the social field itself. And so the algorithms merely capitalized on this by producing a false sense of the social—one that was built on the continuous flow of “information” that had been gutted of real social context.

The standardization and routinization of information opened the doors for AI and its Orwellian distortions. AI cannot be trained on any skills, cannot learn, and is in no sense “intelligent.” These terms have all been distorted to fit what AI is actually good at – storing, sorting, statistically computing and weighing information. The illusion of “intelligence” is particularly effective in the absence of real-life social context. As educators, as experts in training, learning, and intelligence, we need to out the illusion. Training is a word that applies to skills, and machines cannot master skills.  Learning is a word that applies to affect-laden values that are meaningful to the organism and serve several functions:

(1) assessing situations in the context of experience; (2) expanding perception of the environment to search for affordances; (3) reasoning from available affordances to actual possibilities within the context of choice and action that depend upon the degrees of freedom in the agent’s perception and skill-set; (4) fine-tuning goals in real time in relation to changing circumstances (context plus environment) and evaluative reflexivity.

“Intelligence” therefore, is the successful outcome of learning in these terms. The net result of intelligence is that both the agent and the environment i.e., other participating agents, learn from each other.

The illusion of machine “intelligence” depends upon the implementation of significant constraints that satisfy the machine’s needs and accommodates for their substantial weaknesses.

  • The first egregious constraint is the machine’s needs for standardization, routinization, and repetition. In other words, the need for drudgery.
  • The second constraint involves reshaping the terrain in order for the machines to be functionally mobile. This is a serious ontological commitment that would reduce the planet to monotonous, levelled, regular-shaped spaces that would make machine mobility possible and deplete the environment of the richness that allows organic life to flourish.
  • The last constraint is even more sinister— the machine’s insatiable need for investment and energy. Today, the data-centers that AI depends upon are competing with human needs for investment money, and forcing a scramble for large energy sources. At a talk at Stanford University, Eric Schmidt characterized the markets as “believing that investing in intelligence has infinite returns” and that the current demands of data-centers are larger than all the energy that the United States is able to currently generate. At that same Stanford talk, Schmidt admitted that in this revolutionary new future, as nations compete for investment and energy and other resources needed for AI domination, well, as you know, he quipped, “the rich get richer and the poor do the best they can.”

If AI is not intelligent, can’t be trained, and doesn’t learn, then why does it pose such a threat to humans? According to the philosopher of digital information, Luciano Floridi, AI represents a new kind of agency that is decoupled from intelligence. It is the kind of agency that the markets have— the agency of enforced compulsory social protocols. Let me explain.

Enforced compulsory social protocols, or ECSP for short, are social mechanisms which direct human agency in some directions and not others by two means:

1) lowering the action threshold toward the designated direction and
2) raising the barriers for action in alternative directions.

For instance, each newly created financial instrument— from currency to credit, to credit cards, to Paypal and Venmo — lowers the threshold of purchasing; while central banks and regulatory systems (enforced by international law) erect barriers against alternative means. The system is obviously subject to failure and perturbations, but for most of us this means that we can never opt-out of the system in order to live.

We experience the lower thresholds for action as easier and more convenient, but are unaware of the costs that are  built into the system. With financial instruments, there is always a delta between the real owners of the instrument (the central banks) and the users. For example, the delta in using the dollar is the interest the banks assign to it — a debt obligation that grows with every dollar used. The same is true when banks transfer money to digital accounts— the thresholds are lower, but the delta only grows.

AI represents a more insidious ECSP on both fronts. It lowers the threshold for action to simple verbal commands. At his Stanford talk, Schmidt was actually giddy about these prospects. “Imagine just telling the AI to write all the code you need … no more complaining, snivelling coders to deal with!” This sounds to many like the power of God —”say it and thy will be done.” The machines will be designed to talk to us as if we were Gods, only to prop up the delusion. But, in the event of AI domination by a single party, the delta will also be huge — everything we think, do and say will have to be run through AI as a governing constraint, enforcing all human agency to machine protocols that are thereby made compulsory for people to live.  The magic trick is to deceive us that AI increases our agency, when in fact it steals it, because there is a secret agent in between our commands and their outcomes — the people who own and control the machines. Everyone else becomes a compulsory user. The real reason why people like Schmidt are so excited about AI domination, is because they can see that it will enable them to make the delta very, very, VERY large— gargantuan.

The bottom line is: AI has an alignment problem. It is not aligned with intelligence — biological or otherwise. It is not aligned with the geological and ecological terrain of the living planet. It is not aligned with the complex richness of the natural world. It is not aligned with human flourishing, freedom and equitable opportunities. In the face of these dystopic events, I am proposing that education be restored by a global council of educators who are not merely concerned that people are equitably schooled according to the needs and constraints of the economy of machines (aka, the Internet of Things), but insistent on the rights of persons to be educated toward the futures they would choose to live in, given sufficient degrees of freedom and adequate opportunities for participation.  To that end, I propose a countervailing revolution that insists on equal global investment — both in terms of financial and human resources — in studying and developing unexplored possibilities for biological intelligence that are naturally aligned with the values of the living world.  It would be a travesty of great proportions if these demands are not made.

~ Bonnitta Roy, Academic Director, The Divinity School

Our capacities for large-scale collective processes that 1) cultivate contextualized insight, 2) efficiently distribute insights within the collective, 3) upgrade shared values while developing individual adaptability across value systems, and 4) lead to agreed-upon civic activities that humans create together are maturing in the background while AI grows increasingly capable of controlling participants without their awareness. The ability to build collective intelligence and deploy it to shape the worlds we inhabit will either 1) require appropriate education that keeps human creativity, emotions, and contextualized knowledge upstream of AI and machine use, or 2) be informed by machines, leading to a loss of diversity and reducing us to mere means, creating worlds and skills that ultimately prioritize the accommodation of machine needs.

~ Corey Cleland, Executive Director, Endemic & The Divinity School

Training Advanced Leaders

A One-Year Intensive Program with 60+ Peers & Faculty

Machine, Economic, & Indigenous Collaboration for Amazon Rainforest Restoration, a $317b Natural Asset

Beneficial Advanced Technology increases sensitivity, diversity, value clarity, and agency while maximizing choice. It creates conditions for more free and available energy within systems. Massive latent energy is already present—this is how we unlock it.

So, how can we ensure AI and our future visions guide technology to recede into the background and become more like nature, maximizing biological agency?

Restoring 2.25 million square kilometers of rainforest—25% of the Amazon—could cut Earth's overheating by half by reviving the planet's "biotic pump."

Reforestation and ecosystem restoration act as a planetary heat pump, moving energy into space through cloud formation and evapotranspiration. Healthy forests have a cooling effect up to 200 times greater than their role as carbon sinks. The biosphere isn't merely a passive victim of climate change, it's an intelligent system. When this "biotic pump" functions, it helps regulate planetary rainfall as moisture from the Amazon flows into global atmospheric circulation, making it Earth's natural rainmaker.

While the impacts are incalculable and planetary, here are some quick notes on industries directly impacted by the agency of this biotic pump;

  • Agriculture: $100+ billion reliant on Amazon moisture ($65 billion in Brazil, plus Argentina, etc.).
  • Hydropower: $200 million/year in lost revenue currently (Brazil); billions at stake under future deforestation. Amazon moisture enables stable generation.
  • River Shipping: Billions in trade flow depend on navigable levels via Brazil (Amazon–Madeira–Tapajós barge routes), Paraguay/Paraná waterway (e.g. >50 Mt/yr of grains via Amazon River, raising costs for grains) – drought rerouting costs hundreds of $M per event.
  • Water Utilities: Major cities' water supplies (São Paulo, etc.) is worth billions; a single drought can cost over $5 billion in one city alone. Amazon rainfall is valued at approximately $20 billion annually for São Paulo water security.
  • Insurance: Growing losses: e.g. Brazil 2022 drought payouts >4× normal (insurers paid out >$1B). Higher drought/flood risk from Amazon degradation drives up premiums, may render assets uninsurable.
  • Carbon Market & Climate: Amazon stores ~123 Gt Carbon. World Bank: Amazon worth $317B/yr as climate & eco-service

This list excludes numerous co-benefits that markets have yet to properly value—including air quality, water quality, natural medicines, road stability, mangrove and ocean health, biodiversity, and Indigenous communities' cultures and economies. Moreover, this analysis doesn't even touch on the broader implications of climate change and its cascading effects.

Is it reasonable to have a vision for rightly restoring the 2.25 million sq km of rainforest and get us back to a healthy functioning natural asset? That’s roughly the size of 10 Californias. Let’s explore some math based on existing insights from restoration projects:

1 km2 = 100 hectares, 30-70 person-days per hectare, depending on terrain and degradation type. So, 225 million hectares = between 6.75 billion person-days and 15.75 billion person-days. If we had 5 million workers, working 240 days/year, this could be achieved in under 9 years! Let’s assume we pay these people a “fair wage.” $15 a day is the current living wage in Brazil. So, it would only cost $162 billion to compensate for labor! That's a little more than Bill Gates' net worth. Seems financially feasible.

Let’s assume all the other costs—tools, nurseries, transport, training, oversight, and maintenance—double the costs, so now we are at ~$350 billion. That’s just Elons' net worth. Why not?
...

‍When in history do you recall 5 million people consistently organized towards a particular means? It hasn’t happened in most of our lifetimes, but it’s only ever been war, i.e. World War II Mobilization (1939-1945).

Our cultures don’t produce the kinds of people today who can commit to an endeavor of this nature at scale, not as free and willing participants. Most people’s belief that they like nature is an over-romanticized fantasy. They like man-made pathways in safe ecological environments that keep them separate from “the wildness”. The activity of restoring the Amazon would embed them in what most people relate to as nightmarish danger — it’s as wild as it gets.

So the hard problem here is *who will restore the Amazon?*

PART 1.
i m a g i n a t i o n

So, to start this conversation, we need to reimagine what machines are…and we should look to nature. We have built machines largely to fit human needs—up until now, tools have needed human operators. We are moving to an era where tools can operate on their own terms, be designed for and have the intelligence for specific and sensitive tasks, and be coordinated at scale. Maybe we don’t need the kind of crude industrial, human-operated, one-human-to-one-tool management paradigm that we have come from.

Farmville had over 80 million monthly active users in 2010, it validated that people have the motivation and the kind of minds for this virtual activity. Have the best of them use joysticks at home to manage drone fleets repairing our ecological systems. it’s energy for free. ~ Bonnitta Roy, Academic Director, The Divinity School

The Amazon Rainforest doesn't naturally grow in rows—we've designed our agricultural systems to fit machine needs, and it would be misguided to treat the jungle this way. Bison have evolved with hooves that aerate soil and plant new seeds naturally, regenerating land as they graze—so why design a bulldozer that compact and kill soil? Birds eat berries and distribute seeds naturally, and drones could mirror this process at massive scale. What if we designed cars to move like big cats, or buses to move like centipedes, eliminating the need for roads that destroy nature to accommodate machines? And do these machine "workers" need to be humanoid, or could they take more dynamic forms better suited to their tasks?

These machine workers will be immune to venomous animals, poisonous plants, and toxic environments. They won't suffer psychological strain from the overwhelming scale, destruction, smoke, loss, or monotonous tasks. They won't develop interpersonal conflicts or unhealthy habits. Most importantly, they can work continuously without fatigue or need for rest periods.

PART 2.
p r e c i s i o n

These machines need to participate “in reality”. What we call intelligence must go beyond functional optimization and embrace sensitivity—a capacity to respond to the world in contextually appropriate, emotionally attuned, and ecologically embedded ways. This means rethinking how machines "know." Ezequiel Di Paolo, A Divinity School Faculty Member, writes, "Affective bodily engagement is not an optional extra, but a fundamental condition for sense-making." In other words, true intelligence arises from the felt, not just the calculated. If machines are to genuinely aid in repairing the living systems of the Amazon, they must be designed with capacities to feel-with and respond-to their environments—not in a metaphorical sense, but through architectures of interaction that are relational, adaptive, and accountable to the lives around them. Without this sensitivity, they remain clumsy tools of a worldview that caused the damage to begin with.

The concept of an all-knowing, godlike general intelligence doesn't excite me. I worry it would reduce diversity, just as other scaled standards have done, leading to increasingly bland cultures designed mostly to accommodate machines. I am fascinated by specialized, finely-tuned datasets built for specific purposes. Like a person mastering a trade, we can equip machines with precisely the vocations and characteristics needed for each task—including hyper contextual information about histories, cultures, languages, topographies, species identification, and collaborative identities.

So where do we get the right kinds of data?

Indigenous peoples understand the jungle's nuances because they are integral to it. The machines must learn the complexity of what they are extending and repairing—a mental model of how the Amazon Rainforest naturally organizes itself that outside observers studying it cannot fully grasp.

True ecological innovation is not "management," "stewardship," or "adaptation," since these terms imply humans on one side of the equation and the environment on the other. True ecological innovation means becoming aware of and enacting new relationships within nature. It requires letting go of our former "connecting to" relationships (like managing, stewarding, or adapting) and allowing natural relations to reveal themselves—often in surprising and shocking ways. ~ Bonnitta Roy, Academic Director, The Divinity School

This represents a major research undertaking. Rather than falling into an overly romanticized "we need indigenous wisdom" narrative, which has truth for other reasons, we need their practical "knowing how" to properly restore the jungle. The machines' operations and management should be accountable to these indigenous peoples, with their "learning" validated and reinforced through indigenous participation.

PART 3.
u n l e a s h   b i o l o g i c a l   i n t e l l i g e n c e

The core question of this effort should always be how do we unleash biology to do its work for us? Biological Intelligence represents the most sophisticated and advanced technology on Earth, refined through billions of years of evolution. This intelligence manifests in ways far more complex than our current technological capabilities can replicate.

These systems self-organize and operate through intricate feedback loops, complex chemical signaling networks, and highly evolved symbiotic relationships that we are only beginning to comprehend. The role of technology should be to support, enhance, and amplify these natural processes. When we create optimal conditions and systematically remove obstacles that impede natural processes, biology's inherent intelligence can flourish and heal degraded landscapes with an efficiency, resilience, and complexity that far surpasses what human intervention and machine assistance alone could achieve. This biological intelligence operates continuously at molecular, cellular, organismal, ecosystem, planetary, and cosmic levels, orchestrating countless simultaneous processes that maintain and regenerate living systems.

A Natural Asset worth $317B/yr
~ World Bank

I briefly touched on this earlier, but let me expand: Underwriting this activity would require multilateral cooperation and structural recognition of the Amazon Rainforest as a shared asset in the "natural commons"—treated as a public good. While this would need policy and financial mechanism innovation, it would not require radical changes like shifting to an anti-capitalist system, blockchain, or "nature-backed currency" or anything beyond our current financial paradigm.

If properly structured—avoiding privatization—the new wealth created by existing infrastructure development goals in these nations could be leveraged for Amazon recovery. This kind of justice oriented structuring is what my development firm, Prosperity of the Commons International, focuses on—though I'll keep the complex structuring details separate, as this article just aims to generate insights.

Here are the basic elements: 1) create wealth that indigenous communities can deploy with specific mandates and appropriate support; 2) establish them as a market for machine innovators who must meet their requirements and collaborate with tribal organizations; 3) accelerate a private investment market in naturalized machines, spatial mapping, LLMs, etc.; 4) lease these tools to tribal organizations, generating wealth for them as Amazon developers-as-a-service; 5) let the cascade value created by the Amazon's Biotic Pump flow freely through the system, ideally with some simulated representation to generate appreciation by the cultures it supports—but avoid direct monetization, since markets tend to reduce quality to the lowest acceptable outcomes and commoditize resources. Adding a direct financial value would be a crucial mistake.

So my position is that it is feasible to restore the Amazon and that we shouldn’t delay.

~ Corey Cleland, Executive Director, Endemic & The Divinity School